The Obamacare debates of a decade ago are very interesting in light of the pandemic. Back then as now, the debate was over individual mandates, individual responsibility, individualism was key issue. Antivaxxers began their rise then too. Collective health was a marginal concern.
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Already the best hospitals are in cities... where collective health threats are also highest. You can temporarily flee cities for the countryside, but the diseases will eventually reach you, but you'll have to go to the healthcare in the cities.
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So that's the future. Nations competing for tax revenue ultimately linked to multinationals driving tech progress, and using it to compete with each other on healthcare for aging populations... while US and oil decline from a peak and divergence rules and cities rise > nations
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I'm not sure how crypto will play frankly. At the moment it seems like some mix of nations and corps will be able to control it.https://twitter.com/dhruvbansal/status/1333497900748431362 …
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Footnote: things that are probably over-rated analytically and probably have no big part to play in the future: 1. UBI 2. Georgism/LVT 3. Anarchism of any flavor 4. Fully decentralized anything 5. "Post-capitalism"
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End of conversation
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I wonder if the liminal zones between city states will become contested as the urban population continues to grow, or will remote working flatten the distribution of population centres? I suspect not as there is more than just work driving urbanisation.
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I totally buy this prediction. Imagine a weird fusion of urban communitarianism (e.g., Frank Bryan’s “The Vermont Papers”) subsidized by international AI oligopolies competing on elite talent.
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