Still can’t believe the official Chinese Covid fatalatity statistics of just over 4634. Even if it’s “only” an order of magnitude off and the real number is 46k it’s still unbelievably good. Hard to believe authoritarian control works that perfectly. Anyone have alt estimates?
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I do believe the India numbers, currently at 133k. More like China in size and culture, more like US in governance. Accounting for much younger population, I’d say the better performance is entirely a result of the early strict lockdown that they couldn’t keep going long enough.
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The US really seems like a case of “play stupid games, win stupid prizes” What’s the game what’s the prize
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This table is in many ways the future map of the world. Similarity of Covid performance is the new top geopolitical affinity variable. It mostly mirrors old affinities but not exactly.https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2020/health/coronavirus-maps-and-cases/ …
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The honest comparison is going to end up being to Western European counties. And we're ahead, but not that much ahead. And they did government permits to make it legal to leave the house. So there's some "Cost of freedom" on top of that.
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Authoritarianism and state control has some specific areas where it’s light-years better than liberalism. Public health response is one of those areas.
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I would be curious about those stats too. I think your Trumpism number is reasonable but I would still take the over
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Probably more. We can be galvanized into action by good leadership; the falloff would be more like 50%. Maybe more than that. Trump's negligence had criminal intent surrounding it, rather than mere laissez-faire neglect.
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The Trump multiplier is just the US death rate divided by Canada's rate. Currently sitting at ~2.5x and growing, or 160k people.
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Without intent of commenting on veracity of China stats, there are believable stats from other places, both with liberal democratic gov type and authoritarian (UAE) indicating that a potent combo of trumpism and exceptionalism contributed to now over 300k deaths in US.
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Agreed with others that Trumpism likely added many more. If Trump had gotten his base to wear masks as enthusiastically as they wear his hats, doing nothing more than signaling COVID is real and "patriots protect patriots", that could have well mitigated the "cost of freedom".
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I’m not so sure. He reinforced what the base was already inclined to do. He followed the mob. It’s not clear he could have led them.
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