There’s a lot of stuff, but it Durant cohere into broad macro sweeps the way it used to. Instead it is dark, soupy chaos. As a personal experience what I called the Great Weirding is not do much a new pattern but a pattern void.
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There are fewer patterns and they’re harder to spot. This acts as a self-reinforcing thing because fewer people then navigate by those patterns. And the few patterns that ARE spotted tend to attract unreasonable overindexing attention.
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My 2-3 big calls in the last few years (premium mediocre, internet of beefs, domestic cozy) have attracted imo like 3x more attention than they would have in 2012, adjusting for me being better known. When there sky is hazy or light polluted, only the clearest constellations pop.
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This is literally true. Go into the countryside on a dark clear night. “Easy” constellations like the Big Dipper and Orion will be harder to spot than in a light polluted city because there’s so much more going on. You can even see Milky Way (many urban dwellers don’t know this)
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I think, like the Voyager, we’re in a narrative dark patch. Most people are not consciously sensitive to this stuff since they’re not in the business of memetic constellation hunting. But they sense the macrodark and respond with stress.
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Initially I thought I was getting old, or just not in tune with moods. Maybe I’m just better at spotting the satire-eye patterns in an optimistic age. But I don’t think so. I don’t see anybody doing it well now. There were dozens of us churning this stuff out 6-7 years ago.
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Younger and presumably more plugged-in people are increasingly not even bothering to try at the macro scale. They’re strategically focusing on the meso and micro scales. Local weather so to speak. Or even just turning inwards. Cozy web, dark forest, whatever you choose to call it
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Replying to @vgr
I don’t think this is true... from black lives matter to tech and media unionisation, young people are actively shaping large scale narratives
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Replying to @richggall
These are missions you’re talking about, not sense-making/meaning-making patterns.
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Replying to @vgr
But missions don’t just come out of the ether - they’re founded on collective sense-making and convincing interpretations of “how things are”
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Subtleties here I don’t want to get into, but we’re definitely not talking about the same thing.
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Replying to @vgr
Fair enough... examples aside it’s worth considering that large scale material crises may have pushed sense-making activities to become smaller and more focused in scope
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