Trump’s already isolated from his formal political allies and both mainstream media and the news side of Fox. But the far-right grifter crowd with careers linked to his political survival is already gearing up for an ugly rearguard action.
Conversation
The formal media projection and official county-certified results will come in when they come in. The timeline to track now is: Biden claiming victory, Biden calling McConnell (probably the most important signal of Act 2 starting) and Trump’s first transition scorched-earth move.
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From what we’ve seen so far, legal ammo he has available to try to undermine the results are too specious even for highly sympathetic courts to work with. And his recent allies have no incentive to help. So I’m guessing the main threat is perception of illegitimacy by his base.
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It is notable that in 2016, the Dems went for foreign interference and collusion cases rather than casting doubt on the electoral process itself. They had way more probable cause and the thing fell apart for being too weak rather than fictitious.
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There’s going to be attempts to argue an equivalence here, but it’s important to keep in mind that even the Republican senate intelligence committee signed off on the Russia case. Whatever Trump makes up will be flimsy fiction. But his base will buy it.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_i
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For the record, I personally believe the interference had an effect, but not enough to affect result. It merely fed existing sentiment a bit. Trump won legitimately enough, and the biggest distortion came from domestic media coverage choices (ugly but not illegal) not Russia.
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My problem with Trump regime was not its legitimacy, nor even its ideological leanings or low-grade self-dealing/profiteering. It was with their open attempt to destroy institutions, hold them hostage with ransomware tactics, and putting a bunch of foxes in to guard henhouses.
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Replying to
Hmm. I don’t think so. A wrecking ball is not the same as a thoughtful dismantling. Like Reagan deregulation, for all the trauma it caused, was a more careful, thoughtful dismantling of LBJ Great Society state. Trump was a wrecking-balll and attempted looting spree.

