Back to Hydrogen Sonata with Look to Windward cued up tight after. I’ve decided I’ll be working through Iain M. Banks Culture series no matter what happens. Feels very zeitgeisty. Happy little killer spaceships.
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Well looks like Biden’s edged ahead in the PA, GA counts and trending irreversibly at least in the former. I guess ultimately the AZ drama will be moot. Still unclear why Fox/AP called that early, but I’m guessing the anomalous split of mail-in ballots confused the projections?
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I guess the media has to be cautious, but since I’m not a bluecheck, I can proceed on the assumption Biden’s got this in the bag. I’d say we slipped into the litigious 3-month tinpot dictatorship portion of the show overnight.
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Trump’s already isolated from his formal political allies and both mainstream media and the news side of Fox. But the far-right grifter crowd with careers linked to his political survival is already gearing up for an ugly rearguard action.
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The formal media projection and official county-certified results will come in when they come in. The timeline to track now is: Biden claiming victory, Biden calling McConnell (probably the most important signal of Act 2 starting) and Trump’s first transition scorched-earth move.
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From what we’ve seen so far, legal ammo he has available to try to undermine the results are too specious even for highly sympathetic courts to work with. And his recent allies have no incentive to help. So I’m guessing the main threat is perception of illegitimacy by his base.
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It is notable that in 2016, the Dems went for foreign interference and collusion cases rather than casting doubt on the electoral process itself. They had way more probable cause and the thing fell apart for being too weak rather than fictitious.
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There’s going to be attempts to argue an equivalence here, but it’s important to keep in mind that even the Republican senate intelligence committee signed off on the Russia case. Whatever Trump makes up will be flimsy fiction. But his base will buy it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_interference_in_the_2016_United_States_elections …
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For the record, I personally believe the interference had an effect, but not enough to affect result. It merely fed existing sentiment a bit. Trump won legitimately enough, and the biggest distortion came from domestic media coverage choices (ugly but not illegal) not Russia.
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Replying to @vgr
"Dangling chads" was when I learned just how easy it is to alter the numbers. When I looked into I just started laughing. It is comically easy, the problem is if you make any big changes they are obvious. Little ones though...
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I'd argue those simple attack surfaces have actually been closed off since Florida/2000. There seems to be more rigor now.
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