So looks like a divided Congress by a very slim margin in both houses. Aka gridlock for a president who will be a lame duck on day 1. Which would suit either of them fine. Biden won’t try to be bold with a narrow mandate, Trump has no big ideas now that the courts are secured.
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Big picture:
Monarch (emperor = potus): weaker
First estate (clergy = media): weaker
Second estate (nobility = congress): weaker
Third estate (“commoners” = stock/home-owning wealthy): stronger
Fourth estate (social media): stronger
Fifth estate (under-the-API workers): weaker
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Commercial break:
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Thought: there are elections that change everything (1980, 2016) and ordinary elections that convince you nothing can ever change. There are false positives (2008, 2020) that you think will change everything but reinforce nothing-will-change-itis. And false negatives (1964?)
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In the US, only presidential elections seem to have global equilibrium shifting powers. Congress is important mainly for optimizing locally within a new region of attraction set by a narrative shifting president and locking in gains.
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Ok, must save lessons learned for later. Back to meditating on the hive-mind present-moment stream.
Nothing continues to furiously happen in AZ, GA, NV, PA. I don’t think NC and AK are meaningfully in the decision matrix.
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Hot take: Contra take that Trump will stick around as a power center even if he loses, because he fueled a red wave to shape congress races... no. He’s done the job the party needed to shift the equilibrium and is too much chaos to keep around. He’ll be kicked to the curb.
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They’ll find some face-saving sidelined role for him and a different way to keep the activated new base engaged and enraged. He was the booster rocket. They’re in orbit now. He’s no longer needed and a serious liability for the exercise of actual political power.
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