Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Hmm wonder if the counties that flipped away from Obama are the ones that will flip back this time. Or does map of marginal flip-flop bits change each cycle based on events? I may want county-level flip-flop map to make my future plans. 80% chance I’ll be out of CA by 2024.

      2 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      NYT has its dumb needles, CNN shows live votes in and relative percent but not % of votes in. 538 hides behind esoteric incantations. They can’t help themselves. Have firehose, will obfuscate.

      5 replies 1 retweet 45 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Gif break sponsored by @aelkus industries.pic.twitter.com/owxa7lGnnr

      1 reply 0 retweets 27 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Back to doomscrolling. Early yet, but I’m calling it for the Kraken.pic.twitter.com/MPDsFu7vP0

      1 reply 1 retweet 25 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      How are exit polls accounting for late-voter bias? 🤔 Is there an equivalent of exit polls for early voters?

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      This is how CNN displays state of play on TV. The %-in bar is easy to miss at the bottom. Shows as a small corner box when talking heads are commenting, full screen when being summarized.pic.twitter.com/Wr1GGKiDl2

      1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      This is not promising. I have a feeling pollsters are going to be more wrong than in 2016. They’ve upped their modeling sophistication by 50%, UX sophistication by 3x, but the thing has gotten 10x harder to model, so tv doomscroll is more dumpster-fiery than 2016, not less.

      3 replies 2 retweets 80 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      If I don’t like the outcome of this thing I will go full-Taleb on pollsters and hold them in contempt for the rest of eternity.

      3 replies 3 retweets 133 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Georgia and Florida not looking promising. Finger on bozobit trigger. In a way this time around I’m more interested in what regions I’m going to bozobit based on how they vote rather than outcome. Already kinda resigned to a likely Trump “upset” for pollster-believers.

      2 replies 1 retweet 18 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Nate Silver my man, your “plausible” hedges won’t save you from cancelation if this thing blows up in your face. Fusheruan statistics is as much on trial here as mediocrity and Trump.

      2 replies 1 retweet 72 likes
      Show this thread
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

      Remember today is a a referendum on mediocrity. Enlightened mediocrity must triumph over denialist mediocrity.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1323745551758757889 …

      Venkatesh Rao added,

      Venkatesh Rao @vgr
      Dunno how I didn’t notice this before... Biden is the clear choice of us mediocre mediocre types. Trump is for those in denial about their own mediocrity. This election is a referendum on mediocrity. Enlightened embrace of it vs reactionary denial of it. https://twitter.com/BillSeitz/status/1323738382867091458 …
      Show this thread
      6:00 PM - 3 Nov 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 42 Likes
      • make earthseed real 🌏🏴🌹🔰🌻🌱🌌 Dan Finlay kirby still prefers protocols over platforms MugaSofer Drake E. (he/him) Seekers Toolkit foo Smári McCarthy .petros
      1 reply 1 retweet 42 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Enlightened mediocrity must win or the rabbit dies. This election message brought to you by @sonyasupposedly for senate.pic.twitter.com/39QZgNiuaq

          2 replies 1 retweet 20 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          I’m vegetarian but...pic.twitter.com/fNwM8Nbtgp

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Poll: Lets do a less grimdark and more hopepunk poll to lighten this thing up. If you had a billion dollars earmarked for exploration that you had to invest in one of these, where would you put it?

          7 replies 2 retweets 8 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          New rule: any pollster who’s wildly off must go live in Indiana until the next election

          1 reply 0 retweets 61 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Interesting to see the patches where Trump is outperforming himself from 2016. Assuming Biden is overall more appealing, it’s a measure of polarization.

          2 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          * more appealing than Hillary that is

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Time for the bourbon gogglespic.twitter.com/hn3A2P2bB5

          2 replies 0 retweets 32 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Well already seems clear it won’t be the blowout repudiation of Trumpism that beating Hoover’s 1932 margin of defeat (59-472). So my most favored outcome is already off the table. Dammit this was the one record I wanted Trump to own.

          1 reply 1 retweet 43 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Aseemru

          Poll reporting seems more like quantitative aesthetics than statistics. Like how investment firms try to price IPOs to produce a nice pop. Each side is sandbagging its own candidate a bit to produce a satisfying pop with the final outcome. Underpromise-overdeliver or some such bshttps://twitter.com/Aseemru/status/1323814784119140352 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Aseemru @Aseemru
          Someone tell the FOX and NYT needles to get on the same page here. pic.twitter.com/v2ItfOJess
          3 replies 3 retweets 47 likes
          Show this thread
        11. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

          Owning this typo. I’m calling it Fusheruan statistics from now on.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1323805860183724033 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Venkatesh Rao @vgr
          Nate Silver my man, your “plausible” hedges won’t save you from cancelation if this thing blows up in your face. Fusheruan statistics is as much on trial here as mediocrity and Trump.
          Show this thread
          2 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        12. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          We have CNN on mute and wife is doing a pottery class on zoom so I have a surreal sound track going on that’s all about pottery techniques and commentary on art styles.

          1 reply 0 retweets 34 likes
          Show this thread
        13. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          After she fires this pot she’s making I’m calling it the Doomscroll 2020 pot.pic.twitter.com/tvcpP7hm8P

          1 reply 0 retweets 22 likes
          Show this thread
        14. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Ooh I know, it’s going to be the 2020 unholy grail. I’ll tell her to glaze it blue or orange depending on who wins

          2 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
          Show this thread
        15. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Another commercial break. Sponsored by the COP21 Paris Climate Accord, which can still work out.pic.twitter.com/1cV3i12Kpv

          1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
          Show this thread
        16. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Mike Bird

          This seems important.https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1323818411416145928 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Mike BirdVerified account @Birdyword
          Chinese yuan tanking pic.twitter.com/dtmJRQiIap
          1 reply 3 retweets 39 likes
          Show this thread
        17. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          In my totally scientific gut poll, based on tracking doomscroll visuals of I’m now leaning towards conclusion that it’s gonna be Trump. City-state world here we come. Siege urbanism.

          4 replies 3 retweets 49 likes
          Show this thread
        18. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Was waiting for the right moment in this thread for the obligatory doomscroll gif, specially dedicated to @scrivenixpic.twitter.com/dVWEfAGDRZ

          1 reply 2 retweets 28 likes
          Show this thread
        19. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          ** spins up speculative execution thread on 4 more years of Trump ** Analysis starting point for me has always been: one term for Trump could be the madness of a passionate crowd leveraged by electoral college. Two terms is a cold, level-headed, decisive mandate for illiberalism

          7 replies 3 retweets 79 likes
          Show this thread
        20. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Since India has also taken a decisive turn towards illiberalism in the last decade, if Trump wins, I’m going to officially identify as ideologically homeless.

          5 replies 1 retweet 66 likes
          Show this thread
        21. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Okay my illiberal-world rest-of-life plan starts with building Dark Age robots.

          2 replies 0 retweets 24 likes
          Show this thread
        22. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Not kidding. One reason I have gotten back into maker/diy stuff is that the mainstream of humanity has, for the moment, chosen the bozo timeline. Tech is a better bet for a meaningful life.

          2 replies 2 retweets 76 likes
          Show this thread
        23. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Now that a landslide is basically off the table, it doesn’t really matter who wins. A narrow win would merely be a rearguard action to buy us more time, not moral validation/mandate for a counter-reformation. The world is clearly locked on its current course for ~50 years not 5.

          3 replies 12 retweets 115 likes
          Show this thread
        24. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Implications - Climate action is now purely up to businesses - Avocado politics is the future. Wherever you see the phrase “climate refugee” read “climate war” - 100% of political agency for liberalism will come from control of tech. Like guild navigators. Spice!

          7 replies 7 retweets 134 likes
          Show this thread
        25. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          We are officially into our Dark Age. That’s not all bad. Cozy web renaissance. I’ve been exploring this potential future since 2013.https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2013/12/09/our-diurnal-civilization/ …

          2 replies 3 retweets 37 likes
          Show this thread
        26. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          I’m available for dark age consulting 😎https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2017/11/30/prolegomena-to-any-dark-age-psychohistory/ …

          4 replies 1 retweet 31 likes
          Show this thread
        27. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          So one thing is how little has changed on the ground despite so much change in the national consciousness. The map looks the same as 2016 so far, and it’s down to the same states: PA, MI, OH etc. Nobody in power has learned anything but it feels like I have. Same scene, new eyes.

          4 replies 3 retweets 48 likes
          Show this thread
        28. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          The structural biases are so huge, a change in consciousness means nothing in some ways, everything in others. Now we know. The electoral college and gerrymandering are too much to overcome.

          5 replies 5 retweets 42 likes
          Show this thread
        29. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          If you’re decisively left of Red America, it’s time to accept politics isn’t the answer. It’s merely a domain where you run interference to buy time to exercise other modes of agency.

          5 replies 8 retweets 121 likes
          Show this thread
        30. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          The notable thing is: nothing’s changed for Trump’s America either. He was going to make their lives great again.

          2 replies 0 retweets 22 likes
          Show this thread
        31. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Nov 3
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          The nice thing is, this time around I’ve been prepared for exactly this contingency. This is what Project @basicmansion is about 😎 A personal Second Foundation for a Dark Age.

          2 replies 1 retweet 25 likes
          Show this thread
        32. Show replies

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2020 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Imprint
        • Cookies
        • Ads info