Kinda exciting moment for scenario planning futurists. Fork of 5 truly different and divergent futures on Tuesday. Most elections it’s 2 futures that are distinct without being different.
4 are: Trump/Biden win, with/without transient crisis
5th is perma-unraveling a la USSR
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Cynefin actually models these well
Clear: Biden clear landslide
Complicated: Trump clear landslide
Complex: Biden after crisis
Chaos: Trump after crisis
Disorder (center): Perma-unraveling
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