Kinda exciting moment for scenario planning futurists. Fork of 5 truly different and divergent futures on Tuesday. Most elections it’s 2 futures that are distinct without being different.
4 are: Trump/Biden win, with/without transient crisis
5th is perma-unraveling a la USSR
Conversation
Cynefin actually models these well
Clear: Biden clear landslide
Complicated: Trump clear landslide
Complex: Biden after crisis
Chaos: Trump after crisis
Disorder (center): Perma-unraveling
Replying to
Challenge: write a 5-tweet thread quoting (and consistent with) the cynefin tweet above, each tweet being a 280c story of what happened 2020-24 from the perspective of 2030.
Winner gets a small tbd prize from me.
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