Case that the polls are wrong again and nobody learned anything from 2016. After reading Nate Silver’s convoluted apologia for polling and then this I’ve decided this whole field should be declared illegal like cocaine https://www.politico.com/amp/news/magazine/2020/10/29/2020-polls-trump-biden-prediction-accurate-2016-433619 …
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I’ll be depressed but not shocked if Trump wins. My null hypothesis is 4 more years of doompic.twitter.com/w9WoKPQQKw
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I think this is an overreaction. Polling and election predictions are scientific but imprecise. This is what science looks like when you can't structure experiments how you like or run them as often as you like. I won't be shocked either if Trump wins, because 10% happens.
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Politics is a spectator sport for people who didn't play real sports. Polling is vital because fans and the media that feeds them need a score.
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