Case that the polls are wrong again and nobody learned anything from 2016. After reading Nate Silver’s convoluted apologia for polling and then this I’ve decided this whole field should be declared illegal like cocaine politico.com/amp/news/magaz
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What’s the point of a fishy (heh!) number like 90% embedded in what’s basically a science fiction story? It’s basically not much better than “shields down to 60%” in Star Trek. Bayesians just add a backstory.
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I’ll be depressed but not shocked if Trump wins. My null hypothesis is 4 more years of doom
GIF
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Let’s scrap Electoral College first and make Election Day a holiday. Then polls will be less relevant because a few thousand weirdos in Tampa, Erie, and suburbs of Cincinnati won’t be deciding the direction of the world’s largest economy.
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