Conversation

In appeals to Dunning-Kruger, people seem to assume that the effect is transient and as you learn more your real confidence will eventually exceed the false confidence of the counterparty. This seems shaky. Confidence may decrease monotonically with more knowledge.
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I suspect the effect goes away when applied to personal, instrumental skills in bounded domains. But in appreciative knowledge, systematic doubt goes up steadily, average confidence in what you think you know goes down steadily (though you gain pointillist confidence)
Not that it matters since it’s confidence in assertions rather than actions. It does mean appreciative debate over perspectives is futile though.
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