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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      I honestly can't think of anything else that was *already* big ~2010 that has retained narrative momentum through that period and into the great weirding. There were tiny baby things in 2010 that got big and vigorous, and big and vigorous things that kinda just died.

      1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      Like Obama hope train. That was HUGE through first term. But it represented a vein of moderate progressive hope that kinda just stopped dead and died. Sadly, the first black president will also be remembered as a dead-end president on an abandoned branch of history.

      1 reply 0 retweets 15 likes
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    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      Modern BLM-ish black politics took shape in the last years of his administration and is basically the most un-Obama thing ever. Sadly, his most direct impact on history will have been triggering the white reaction and helping directly create Trump with his standup set.

      2 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
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    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      Most of his legislative record has been rolled back and won't be restored even if Biden wins. The world has changed too much. Can't step in the same river twice etc. But ACA remains as... something of a landmark compromise. I'm still on it.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      Clinton too will be remembered as a dead-end president on an abandoned historical branch. His second term was mostly bogged down with the Lewinsky scandal, and his own legacy is fumbling the post-Cold War and creating Putin via the permissioning effects of intervening in Bosnia.

      2 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
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    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      The best thing that can be said for Clinton is that he didn't mess up the growth of the internet that was happening on his watch, and did a mediocre job wherever he did have some agency. He was mostly harmless, and a pleasant presence on the world stage.

      3 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
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    7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

      Interestingly, both 1993-97 and 2010-14 were periods of high indeterminate optimism for people on the right side of history. That part of the energy of those periods was NOT a dead-end. But because it was illegible nobody could take credit for it or narrativize it.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1310658178326040577 …

      Venkatesh Rao added,

      Venkatesh Rao @vgr
      The Thiel 2x2 is an example of alt-top. Makes sense he’d land there. Interestingly in my use of the Thiel 2x2 I’ve cast indeterminate optimism as the best quadrant. Still do, even though it’s hard to inhabit. In both these 2x2s, I think top-left is actually evil. pic.twitter.com/VYSzckwYxJ
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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    8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      The definition of “right side of history” didn’t change, though some people who were on that side either went pessimistic or determinate. In both cases becoming, as far as I’m concerned part of the problem.

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    9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      I’m pretty proud of how I threaded the futures needle in my software eating the world essays of 2015. I managed to hedge it just right and call out the upcoming fork in history correctly, though I didn’t make branch predictions. So the essays managed to not get cache-invalidated.

      2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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    10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      I didn’t predict either the right or wrong future. I just pointed to both as possibilities and warned against one.https://breakingsmart.com/en/season-1/the-future-in-the-rear-view-mirror/ …

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
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      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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      The biggest thing I missed was which elites would lead a reactionary revolt. I was focused on fox elites (aka Bernie/inequality crowd), but the ones who led were the lion elites. But I didn't learn about the Pareto fox vs. lion circulation of elites theory till later.

      1:01 PM - 28 Sep 2020
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      • aaron matthew of the meskousing Pat Larsen Dennis Goodwin Lawrence Rowland Death will not release you
      1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
        1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 28
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          Kind make sense, since the 2013-14 milieu which I was thinking about was all techlash, inequality, occupy wall street etc., with Piketty being headline news. I expected a leftist-fox-reaction and got a rightist-lion-reaction.

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