USPS being sabotaged, courts stacked, mail-in voting under siege, mall-ninja militias primed, pockets of security forces already battle-tested for loyalty. You don’t have to have a vivid imagination to realize there’s a nontrivial chance of a very bad unraveling.
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And this is on top of normal voter suppression that’s already GOP SOP. And worst is a crazed base has been gaslit into believing the election theft attempt is coming from the other side. This is a coup that thinks it’s an anti-coup.
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You are right. It's a state by state battle and many of the key states are controlled by the party that cheats, and they are packing the Supreme Court in case the state-level cheating isn't enough.
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The margin of victory needs to be SO HIGH on a state by state basis that it cannot become a matter for litigation. Otherwise we are looking at a repeat of 2000 and 2016.
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In which case it would still be attacked as 'unrealistic' or something like that. They are going to attack the results regardless. They'll even attack it even if Trump wins the EC but not hte popular vote.
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The world is having a lot of chaos. Even with less presidential race scandal, voters with a family often don’t want to change the president during crisis.
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I think a 10pt lead (350EC) would be fine. It's more dicey if Joe wins by 4 or so (290 EC). If Trump needs to steal 1 or 2 states that he lost by a point or two, he can definitely pull that off. But if he needs to steal 5 states he each lost by 5, then not much chance.
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