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Poll: Has Covid affected your Dunbar circle (~150 closest people you know personally) and if so, how severely?
  • No
    36.1%
  • Yes, mild/asymptotic
    36.4%
  • Yes, serious illness
    19%
  • Yes, fatality
    8.5%
612 votesFinal results
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Replying to and
Fatality% respondents report knowing someone in their closest 150 who've died. At current poll result, our collective pool of all our 150 closests is averaging about 9%*1.1/150 dead w/ C19. Which is 0.066%. Current reported US # is 207k/328M = 0.063%. Extremely close!
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It's combinatorics: Let's say you & 1000 friends each receive 10 random marbles from a giant bag of marbles. Only 8.8% got at least one red marble in your 10 marbles. To estimate: What % of the marbles in the bag are red? Solution:
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