Poll: Has Covid affected your Dunbar circle (~150 closest people you know personally) and if so, how severely?
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It's combinatorics: Let's say you & 1000 friends each receive 10 random marbles from a giant bag of marbles. Only 8.8% got at least one red marble in your 10 marbles. To estimate: What % of the marbles in the bag are red? Solution:
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(1-x)^10=(1-0.088). Solve for x.
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