My threat model, right now (likelihood not severity)
Identity thieves > mass ransomware/malware attacks > Natural disasters > Apple > US government > China/Russia > Other big platforms > Geopolitical crisis supply disruptions > Financial system collapse > Long-term mad-maxery
Conversation
Items on the list are either loci of vulnerability (Apple because all my devices are Apple) or sources of malicious action, or both
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Did I miss any big categories? What’s your order of likelihood?
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“Trusted third parties are security holes” = every platform you have an account on is a big gaping hole nakamotoinstitute.org/trusted-third-
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Right now, healthcare access is not even on the list despite Covid but that will shoot to top as I age of course.
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Interesting what’s not on the list: nuclear war, terrorist attacks, physical crime (mugging, kidnapping, break-ins etc)
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The last one is a function of simply choosing safer places with adequate physical security to live in... which could get harder over time
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Type of risk is an interesting variable
- Risk of kafkaesque bureaucratic ooga-booga
- Risk of physical violence
- Risk of financial loss
- Risk of confinement/incarceration
- Rusk of access denial (to places/people)
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The world has become a systematically riskier place in the last 5 years
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Risk of physical violence has gone down for most people, but weird stack risks to your extended civilizational phenotype has gone way up
Identity theft wasn’t even really a thing 50 years ago. People could impersonate you with fake/stolen id in a distant place but not globally
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