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The point of expansive theories of human predictability isn’t to render the future predictable, but to notice the surprising bits more easily. Just like point of the sieve of Eratosthenes is not to prove all numbers are composite but to find the primes. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sieve_of_Eratosthenes …
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There’s a Lump of Complexity fallacy underlying this failed frame. “There’s a fixed amount of complexity in the universe.” So if X turns out to be surprisingly complex you conclude not-X is simple.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1302666282047696896 …
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Like Lump of Labor = “there’s a fixed amount of work in the economy” So if robots take some jobs there are fewer jobs for humans. Short-term half-true, long-term bullshit.
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Why liberal arts and not the narrower class of humanities? Because in practice in the US, “liberal arts” means one easy-A stats 101 class for “math” and a menu of easy no/low-math courses to meet science credit minimum. Serious math/science majors tend to identify as STEM.https://twitter.com/aphid23/status/1302691221643485185 …
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