Post-Covid reconstruction, if there’s a lot of dematerialization and localization of consumption, so world’s export markets mainly consume industrial intermediates over finished goods, China will be significantly weakened.
I’m not thinking home scale vs factory. I’m thinking big blast furnace scale factory ops vs plethora type small urban factories. 3dp is just an example of latter scale. But for eg turning and milling mild steel and aluminum with some limited heat treatment has same profile.
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I blogged about consumer 3DP in the early days, then at Wired, I'm with Nick here. It's very easy to tell a broad 3DP story, but then when you drill into specific use cases it largely falls apart. It's really a space that rewards thinking like a factory owner, not a consultant.
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There are very few general rules, but anything high volume is going to make sense to centralize. The returns to tooling and automation are too high for local production to overcome. And if it's low-volume, usually a single factory, or maybe a couple can supply demand.
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