Post-Covid reconstruction, if there’s a lot of dematerialization and localization of consumption, so world’s export markets mainly consume industrial intermediates over finished goods, China will be significantly weakened.
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I don’t think they’d do this. The allure of being a global superpower rather than a kingdom in retreat preserving its quality of life during a dark age is rather weak. Also, some raw materials equations may not balance.
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Still there’s no doubt that the rest of the world has been significantly techno-pastoralized by China’s dominance of process industries. It’s 95% farmers markets and trad larping and 5% 10x-engineer wizard work for the developed world right now, and squalor for developing world.
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The solution is robots for everyone, easy player-piano work for most, wizard work for a few. And mansions for some. Including me.
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End of conversation
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