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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. "Fire Buddha" Rival Voices (76/284 olympic squats)‏ @nosilverv Sep 2
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      What does Elon musk do *really*? He has people to manage his companies so he has to manage those. He has vision, first principles thinking and risk appetite. He’s chief meme officer. What else? Seems like the latter is his comparative advantage

      10 replies 1 retweet 59 likes
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 3
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      Replying to @nosilverv

      His talent is zeroing in on right strategic technical questions very quickly in a wide range of fields, and being bold enough to pick the most daring options. Lots of veteran technical people can’t do either of those things. Fits Amazon principle of “good leaders are right a lot”

      1 reply 9 retweets 92 likes
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 3
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      Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

      His range is impressive. Intuitions are dead-on in about 80% of the technical fields he touches. The other 20% he gets wrong. And he gets there in months to years and does better than people who’ve logged decades refining tactical prowess but developing zero strategic intuition.

      2 replies 2 retweets 55 likes
    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 3
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      Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

      This causes reactions ranging from resentment to confusion to disbelief. Doesn’t help that his PR shenanigans, Barnum showmanship, and shitposting make non-engineers doubt his technical abilities. Some people even think he’s pure marketer/showman. Laughably untrue.

      4 replies 3 retweets 44 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 3
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      Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

      The failure of Elon doubters is a failure of imagination and/or failure of tech literacy. Even if he fails at everything he has left on his to-do list, he will have taken swings at the exact right problems in 80% of things he’s trying. Very solid orientation in tech OODA loop.

      1:05 AM - 3 Sep 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 43 Likes
      • Nawroz Minsaria howard Yash apoorva srinivasan Luke/SW❄️ Robert Atkins Olaf Michael Jelly Aaron Ng
      5 replies 3 retweets 43 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 3
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          Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

          Most engineers are lucky if their orientations on problem strategy are solid 15-20% of the time. I’m not talking technical skill. That’s “doing the thing right.” I’m talking “doing the [technically] right thing.” No comment on socially/morally.

          1 reply 1 retweet 19 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Sep 3
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          Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

          This is especially galling to technical geniuses who tend to get attached to the cleverest problems that show off their abilities, and get that confused with “important.” He’s not a genius in that sense. So doesn’t fall into that trap.

          3 replies 1 retweet 21 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Sedge Cowdery‏ @CowderySedge Sep 3
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          Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

          Sedge Cowdery Retweeted Sedge Cowdery

          Yep.https://twitter.com/CowderySedge/status/1296358586155761665?s=19 …

          Sedge Cowdery added,

          Sedge Cowdery @CowderySedge
          Bilious with rage at Elon's unlettered STEM redditry, as he uses his understanding of economics, physics and engineering to establish a human presence on Mars.
          Show this thread
          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. "Fire Buddha" Rival Voices (76/284 olympic squats)‏ @nosilverv Sep 3
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          Replying to @vgr

          > Very solid orientation in tech OODA loop. Interesting that it generalizes across (tech) fields. Any idea why he has it and (most? all?) others not?

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. James Barton‏ @james_barton Sep 3
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          Replying to @nosilverv @vgr

          Maybe the habit of iterating is built more easily in the software field? The cost of an iteration can be very low.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. James Barton‏ @james_barton Sep 3
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          Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

          I was a doubter on SpaceX initially. Suspected that “needing too many engines” was an anti-pattern, like in the Soviet N1 case. But EM brought an optimiser’s approach, maybe from software: get something working at all, then make it better.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. James Barton‏ @james_barton Sep 3
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          Replying to @james_barton @vgr @nosilverv

          Hard to ignore after the first F1 flight, impossible after the first F9 booster re-use.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. fika-monster‏ @A_Fika_Monster Sep 3
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          Replying to @vgr @nosilverv

          some elon doubters i encountered think he just leeched of scientists or other people, and is taking credit despite having created 0 value and invented nothing its usually the same people super critical of billioneres and such

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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