Without looking it up iirc... right now
Apple, 1977? 43y old
Amazon, 1994, 26y old
Google, 1998, 22y old
Facebook, 2004? 16y old
Lindy effect expectations: 2063, 2046, 2042, 2036 🤔.
Amazon endures > Apple but otherwise right
Social's moat isn't huge so doubt Facebook persists long.
Google should be seriously concerned about what GPT-4 (and beyond) mean for Search.
Apple has VR and nothing more lined up.
Amazon thrive at least 20 years post-Bezos
I think breaking up the giants is about turn - services may be separated out from hardware with all these anti trust allegations. They have become so big accumulating cash to threaten the democracies (literally and figuratively).