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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      Hedging 2020 - Staying healthy - Favors banked in diverse, global social graph - Cash - Retirement, insurance portfolio - 2-3 in-country refuge places - Foothold in country #2 - Crypto; keys backed up abroad - Bug-out bag - Mad-Max toolbox - Junkyard skills - Med triage skills

      13 replies 26 retweets 240 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      If there were a way to secure internet access controlled by yourself that would be top of list of course There’s a whole other list of online prepping but that presumes reliable, uncensored internet access. For eg a strong social media game is a huge hedge, but can get shut down

      5 replies 3 retweets 33 likes
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    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      I’ve had a history of intuitively preparing/positioning for big shifts without realizing what I’m doing or why until 2-3 years later when I go, “shit good thing I did X, Y, Z back then.” Often my explicit/conscious planning is even opposed to my intuitive/unconscious prepping.

      2 replies 2 retweets 39 likes
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    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      But for the first time, the things I vaguely feel an urge to do intuitively require more deliberate thought, learning, and non-casual effort than just a few dirt cheap hedge moves scattered along the way without much thought (which is what has usually bailed me out)

      1 reply 1 retweet 21 likes
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    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      I’m fairly good re this list. I’d give myself a B- overall. I’d guess the typical American would be at a D- but many would have guns (which are not on my list... if you have to prep for more than improvised “buy 2 minutes and run” level of violence, your planning is bad)

      1 reply 1 retweet 18 likes
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    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      If you need real weapons and fighting skills in any situation, you plans should have you leaving that area weeks before that situation develops

      2 replies 2 retweets 40 likes
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    7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      I hate doing all this btw. I’m not a natural prepper. I like living on the most-leveraged edge of civilizational capability. Functional postmodernity is my milieu. Heavily hedged situations imply you’re spreading your mind thin over many futures with low leverage in all of them.

      2 replies 0 retweets 52 likes
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    8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      An apocalypse is when you have to work 3x as hard to secure your future in 3x as many scenarios, all of which are way shittier than normalcy. Some people come alive with prepping, usually because they hate normalcy. They feel powerless and unhappy in the status quo. Not me.

      2 replies 3 retweets 39 likes
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      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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      Most leveraged as in all-in on something fairly new and unproven (like blogging in 2007), not as in debt. Needs a label. My preferred mode is to early-adoption as grey-man mode is to tacticool. I like the edge, but rarely the next shiny new thing for its own sake.

      10:56 AM - 10 Aug 2020
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      • Divia Eden DAVID SUGARMAN 𝗦𝗜𝗠O𝗡 O'𝗥𝗘𝗚𝗔𝗡 🦊 Brendan McCaughey Marvin “Polymath but really Just Generalist” Liao MisterBeans 0.005 Seconds To Freedom
      1 reply 1 retweet 19 likes
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        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          My default mode is actually lowest-energy/path of least resistance. In good times, I can coast with almost no effort on the slightest breeze of serendipity, putting like 99% of my energy into stuff I do for fun. IOW, 99% of my available energy is surplus/abundance energy.

          1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
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        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          The problem with bad times isn’t that low-energy/path of least resistance diesnt work. It in fact works really well, and way better than more combative stances. The problem is even that minimum energy/resistance path is pretty demanding. Flow like water uphill over rocks.

          2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
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        4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          A fictional character who comes close to my ideal mode through good/bad times is Abelard Lindsey in Bruce Sterling’s Schismatrix. He’s a consummate flow-like-water exit/escape artist. Picks no fights he doesn’t have to. Isn’t selfish, but is pragmatically aware of his own limits.

          1 reply 1 retweet 18 likes
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        5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          I suspect I have a “correct play” poker sensibility though I don’t play poker. Pick the right table and play correctly even if it means you sometimes lose and an incorrect player wins by luck. This mindset is hard to bring to open-world infinite-game conditions.

          2 replies 1 retweet 16 likes
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        6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          Curiously I think many strong preppers don’t have strong poker sensibilities in the sense that they’re disappointed if the future they prepped most for doesn’t happen. They’re emotionally invested in the apocalypse that proves them right even if it means they lost.

          1 reply 2 retweets 27 likes
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        7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          The future you most prefer to live in needn’t be the one you prepare the most for. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst etc. This is hard because identity follows effort. If you spend hours a day honing fighting skills it can make you an unhappy misfit in a peaceful world.

          1 reply 1 retweet 31 likes
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        8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          The inner game of prepping, I think is separating your identity development path from your effort path. Otherwise you end up victim of a metaverse level sunk cost fallacy. Just because you’ve logged 10k hours of zombie-killing prep doesn’t make the zombie apocalypse a good future

          4 replies 3 retweets 31 likes
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        9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          Surprising how many otherwise wise people fail to achieve this separation. Do not invest identity in proportion to distribution of prepping effort across scenarios. Prepping is what you do, not who you are. But you’ll default to them being the same if you don’t look out.

          1 reply 2 retweets 21 likes
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        10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          For eg. if poetry is your identity path but you can only spend 5 minutes/week on it in the gaps of 100 hours of zombie killing, invest all your identity narrative in those 5 minutes. That’s what makes life living for you. Secure that pilot light through the valley of darkness.

          1 reply 0 retweets 28 likes
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        11. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Aug 10
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          If it looks like zombie world is here to stay, get good enough at zombie killing to expand those 5 minutes to 5 hours. And then work to find the poetry in zombie world and make it yours. Start work on a poetry collection titled “Undead Thoughts” etc.

          1 reply 1 retweet 22 likes
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        12. End of conversation

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