So... I’ve been trying to find supporting arguments for my intuition that even though death rate is far lower than Spanish Flu (2%) and European Black Death (25-30%), the civilizational damage is comparable. I’ve found a pretty good one...
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I call it memetic whole-life r/K theory. Civilizations pursue one of 2 strategies: r-civilizations treat life as cheap and are robust to a lot of death at all life stages and sustain it with high birth rate K-civilizations great life as expensive and fight hard for every life
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We did overoptimize over the last 100 years. Our strategy aims for more variance - both up and down. So every opportunity is magnified and so is every disaster.
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Which could mean that we are more vulnerable to natural disasters than in Middle Ages. Not despite our progress, but because of it. ( density, reliance on infra, etc )
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