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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 25
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      This is, like what, Normal #17 right? Each new normal seems to last about a couple of weeks now. The first few lasted less than a week each. The normals are lengthening but I think they’ll shorten again in Fall. Normal normals will last 2-3 days in November. The new metanormal

      4 replies 19 retweets 140 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      Your periodic friendly reminder that the pandemic is getting worse not better, and most of the world is getting simultaneously more resigned and stupid about it. Each new normal drops societal IQ by about 3 points. With N17 now at about 89. Started at about 140.

      4 replies 2 retweets 60 likes
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    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      Societal IQ is not average IQ of members but size-weighted IQ of institutions. It was pretty high pre-pandemic since institutions are by definition designed by smart people to be run by ordinary people so long as normal doesn’t change.

      1 reply 1 retweet 40 likes
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    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      Eeyup. Things are bad folks. Deal with it.

      2 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
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    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

      https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1276411997853122560?s=21 …

      Venkatesh Rao added,

      Venkatesh Rao @vgr
      Replying to @davidsteven
      Every normalcy shift adds 1-10 hists, so we’re average about 15 hists per months right now, by my histometer. But it’s made in China and I think the CCP compromised it to underreport hist measures.
      1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
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    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      Mansions get stupider much more slowly compared to other institutions

      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
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    7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      The re-opening is failing abysmally everywhere in the US. The rest of the world is not much better. The Chinese are either lying about the number of deaths, or the accumulating costs of keeping it low.

      5 replies 0 retweets 16 likes
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    8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      The cute shit is done. Mask porn season is done. Inspiring stories of clever hacks and adaptations fall flat now. We’re in the Valley now.

      3 replies 1 retweet 27 likes
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      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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      This is going to get a lot worse before it gets completely unbearable. The protests and riots weren’t taking over from the pandemic, they were the first outbreak of second-order consequences. Expect many more. There’s a second order effects case curve that needs flattening.

      12:23 AM - 26 Jun 2020
      • 7 Retweets
      • 48 Likes
      • DAVID SUGARMAN Kyle meghan kane dobry David Cook Devon Welsh max arb 🅑🅔🅝 Martin Anquetil
      2 replies 7 retweets 48 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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          You’ve learned social distancing. Welcome to level 2: historical distancing. De-escalating the rate of hists by picking your battles carefully. Everything will seem more worth fighting over right now, but fighting all the fights at once is the definition of collapse.

          2 replies 0 retweets 24 likes
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        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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          Hobbesian conditions are not everybody vs everybody. That’s always true in some limited way. Honbesyy it am conditions = every fight being fought at the same time. Judgment day. All reckonings at once.

          1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
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        4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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          pic.twitter.com/aIaCs1kAzQ

          3 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
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        5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Jeff @ semi-active

          If we go down chances are we’ll take everyone else down with us. The US gave the rest of the world 19 rings of power which are what is keeping them going. The One Ring powers the rest and is headed to Mount Doom. Which is a bad thing in the non-LOtR world.https://twitter.com/noisysun/status/1276416796518764545?s=21 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Jeff @ semi-active @noisysun
          Replying to @vgr
          It is actually is currently better elsewhere (Europe, SK, Japan, Canada, Oceania) but it demands money, planning, and effort to keep it under control. It's demanding and enervating. I don't think the US has the discipline for it.
          3 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
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        6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jun 26
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          Not to fear-monger but the world isn’t afraid enough of this. It’s not bravery to be unafraid because you’re underestimating a threat.

          3 replies 3 retweets 22 likes
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        7. End of conversation
        1. Mujtaba Alam‏ @TubaJam Jun 26
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          Replying to @vgr

          So basically, a constant, increasing rate of change that provokes people to comment that "this is the new normal" is the new normal?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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