Conversation

In general interesting things happen when you get one thing really, really right. Everything else that seems important can be a near random mix of right/wrong/good-enough and it’ll still work out. Trying to get almost everything just right instead of one thing super-right fails
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Getting one thing really, really right (super right) seems to be the essence of strategy outside of an adversarial context. Examples are a network effect or a flywheel.
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Strategy anxiety: when you can’t find a super-right thing to arrange everything else around, and find yourself getting sucked into a bullshit optimize-everything for muh values mode.
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The best way to practice this is to be really lazy When faced with 100-dimensional problem, the rationalist makes a 100-dimensional spreadsheet model and virtuously heavy-lifts it to a brute force Okay Answer The lazy person looks for the cheat and gives up if one doesn’t pop
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Path of least resistance. Ride super-rightness wherever it takes you. Don’t get attached to specific outcomes unless you’re willing to work very hard and build spreadsheet models somewhere along the way.
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I’ve got mounting strategy anxiety rn because I’m not seeing any interesting super-right next moves. If this goes on I’ll have to make a spreadsheet soon. The chapters of my life I’ve navigated with spreadsheets have invariably been awful ones.
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