Conversation

In general interesting things happen when you get one thing really, really right. Everything else that seems important can be a near random mix of right/wrong/good-enough and it’ll still work out. Trying to get almost everything just right instead of one thing super-right fails
5
132
Getting one thing really, really right (super right) seems to be the essence of strategy outside of an adversarial context. Examples are a network effect or a flywheel.
1
33
Strategy anxiety: when you can’t find a super-right thing to arrange everything else around, and find yourself getting sucked into a bullshit optimize-everything for muh values mode.
1
40
The best way to practice this is to be really lazy When faced with 100-dimensional problem, the rationalist makes a 100-dimensional spreadsheet model and virtuously heavy-lifts it to a brute force Okay Answer The lazy person looks for the cheat and gives up if one doesn’t pop
1
40
Path of least resistance. Ride super-rightness wherever it takes you. Don’t get attached to specific outcomes unless you’re willing to work very hard and build spreadsheet models somewhere along the way.
1
34
I’ve got mounting strategy anxiety rn because I’m not seeing any interesting super-right next moves. If this goes on I’ll have to make a spreadsheet soon. The chapters of my life I’ve navigated with spreadsheets have invariably been awful ones.
schwerpunkt nao need to find coup d’oeil cheap trick within next week or it’s grinding time getting too old to grind
1
11
Replying to
I both empathize and ponder, "How have I approached this in the past?" Usually there's a foundational problem when all 100 paths are "okayish".
1
1