2 million cases, 112k deaths. I’m guessing ~180k by the time the first wave falls to single digits by August end or so? Then we can do it all over again in fall. Yay. Wonder if there will be a protests-catalyzed bump.pic.twitter.com/723xCNYTr8
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Some alternative thoughts on herd immunity. Most models assume homogeneity of populations & uniform susceptibility. It's likely much lower.https://judithcurry.com/2020/05/10/why-herd-immunity-to-covid-19-is-reached-much-earlier-than-thought/ …
I think @curryja is right in general about needing a lower level once you assume non-homogeneity, but there are a few key issues with the analysis, including the facts about Sweden.
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