There’s a weird tragedy of commons potential with willing-to-get-violent protests as a political action mode. Two kinds of talented leaders have an incentive to take control: those with nothing left to lose, and those with safe places to retreat to. The latter is big moral hazard
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Iron Law of Protest Bureaucracies: those with a high stake in the actual cause will eventually be displaced by those with high moral hazard and grift appetite. It’s fundamental not an institutional form that can last long. The internal tensions make sustainability impossible.
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Seeing same patterns reproduce repeatedly in two very different countries makes me very cynical about such mechanisms for driving real change as opposed to advancing sociopath careers. In India grifters are typically “student leaders” in their mid-30s pwning “student” activism.
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a particular path is bouncing between having your toes in community organizing / activism into the nonprofit industrial complex and then into politics.
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but most people on the ground knows who is up to what. Strong lessons have been learned since the last waves of cooptation, not that that translates into power yet. Remember BHO billed himself as a community organizer.
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