Developments: we now know several things don’t work, but haven’t found anything that does. Food security plummeting by the day. Infrastructure accidents in the developing world already. Famine beginning to loom in Africa. Fiscal support already at limit.
-
Show this thread
-
War zones trying to return to “normal” war with no pandemic proofing. Throw in your locusts and murder hornets for some color. Basically, no good news. We bought time, achieved almost nothing with it beyond a bit of curve flattening.
6 replies 13 retweets 175 likesShow this thread -
And the curve flattening is partly just spike shifting in most overloaded parts of the world. Tldr: if you’re letting your guard down you’re an idiot. Unless you have a mansion in Idaho, or better still on the moon, staffed by robots, your risk has gone up not down. Probably 3x.
5 replies 34 retweets 237 likesShow this thread -
Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao added,
1 reply 2 retweets 48 likesShow this thread -
My hard landing asymptote is: design your survival-level lifestyle within a 20-mile radius plus Amazon. Assume that nothing except money can travel longer distances easily. And assume that money will be worth less and less.
6 replies 15 retweets 117 likesShow this thread -
Right now the poorest under-the-API types are being thrown under the bus. Expect the shit level line to slowly rise and that you will be thrown under the bus too when it rises to your class level. Maybe not via higher Covid risk, but other risks like hunger or destitution
2 replies 12 retweets 116 likesShow this thread -
Never thought I’d live through this level of breakdown, but I’m now making post-money plans, as in when money is not the primary form of risk insurance needed. There’s going to be a pretty bad rice shock within the year I think, which will make the meat crisis look like a joke.
4 replies 6 retweets 127 likesShow this thread -
-
Replying to @tobyshorin
I think I saw it in
@_DanielSinclair mega thread somewhere... big exporters like india, thailand and vietnam are shutting down exports, and net importers like africa and others are having both supply trouble and in-country logistics trouble2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes -
There you go.
-
-
Rice sold out around here
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
You’re still in North Carolina or something?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes - Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.