If you could pick only 2 scenarios, A and B, to plan next decade against, what would they be? Describe with narrative color not structural what-ifs like “vaccine in 18mo” or “V-shaped recovery”
Eg:
A: Great Depression with 20% economy-driven suicide
B: Rapid automation+UBI
Conversation
Replying to
Obviously, A. Well, mostly A with some haphazard B going on.
Pure proper B requires far too much competence from the people who keep getting elected (and the ones who run our cyberpunk megacorps) and I see nothing to inspire confidence in that regard.
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A: Demolition Man
B: Gattaca
Would be fun, but realistically probably
A: Techno Fascism
B: Eco Fascism
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I'm at a point when internal variables are much more influential than external:
A: My upcoming projects will reach market and be successful
B: Guess i'll die
It's a sad planning fork, i admit that, but it's the most relevant one at the moment
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A: 2010s repeat on steroids. Economic downturn much worse, political polarization goes from verbal to violent, Corporatocracy reigns supreme-er
B: A slow, weird, boring purgatory. Population shrinks, country gets more conservative, states get bluer, caveated UBI and healthcare
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A: Rapid decarbonization of the electricity grid kicks off the greatest economic boom in modern history.
B: US civil war
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A: C.H.U.D. Uprising against the elysium overlords
B: Imposed order via the boot of BOTs on the underclass







