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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr May 12
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    If you could pick only 2 scenarios, A and B, to plan next decade against, what would they be? Describe with narrative color not structural what-ifs like “vaccine in 18mo” or “V-shaped recovery” Eg: A: Great Depression with 20% economy-driven suicide B: Rapid automation+UBI

    8:12 PM - 12 May 2020
    • 2 Retweets
    • 19 Likes
    • jamie cannon Ernie Bornheimer Gluckstadt Storage ciprière 🌴showhey🌴 Eduardo Ferraciolli Leon Markham Jeff Brad Neuberg
    11 replies 2 retweets 19 likes
      1. jeffhowanek‏ @jeffhowanek May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        A: 2010s repeat on steroids. Economic downturn much worse, political polarization goes from verbal to violent, Corporatocracy reigns supreme-er B: A slow, weird, boring purgatory. Population shrinks, country gets more conservative, states get bluer, caveated UBI and healthcare

        0 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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      2. tonyday567‏ @tonyday567 May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        A: Rapid decarbonization of the electricity grid kicks off the greatest economic boom in modern history. B: US civil war

        1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
      3. Drake E.‏ @Drake_Works May 12
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        Replying to @tonyday567 @vgr

        I'm feeling this one.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. 𝚢𝚊𝚜𝚑  🔸‏ @yashxv May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        A: Consiladation of capital due to small businesses going bankrupt. The big get bigger. Governments become authoritarian, tracking of citizens becomes ubiqutous. B: Decentralization of Work due to global labour pool gives rise to smaller firms and the Gig economy takes over.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Chris Haynes‏ @clfh47 May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        For UK: A: Slow decline to third-world economy or B: Rapid decline to third-world economy

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Andrew Yakovlev‏ @a_yakovlev May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        A: Demolition Man B: Gattaca Would be fun, but realistically probably A: Techno Fascism B: Eco Fascism

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. edumurphy‏ @razorsmile May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        Obviously, A. Well, mostly A with some haphazard B going on. Pure proper B requires far too much competence from the people who keep getting elected (and the ones who run our cyberpunk megacorps) and I see nothing to inspire confidence in that regard.

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      1. (((William Funk)))‏ @wmfunk2848 May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        B and free ourselves with questions of how to transition people from the old economy to the new, including how to seed entirely new service industries

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Čhepulis the designer‏ @ingleeshh May 12
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        Replying to @vgr

        I'm at a point when internal variables are much more influential than external: A: My upcoming projects will reach market and be successful B: Guess i'll die It's a sad planning fork, i admit that, but it's the most relevant one at the momentpic.twitter.com/CDXMCzGybB

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Čhepulis the designer‏ @ingleeshh May 12
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        Replying to @ingleeshh @vgr

        And i'll add this: innovation and swans are accelerating to a point when guesswork → useless. Whatever you predict is retrofuturist by lunch. Even if you predict lunch.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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