I’ve been thinking about this quite a bit and have concluded that classical scenario methods are not viable in the short term right now because they are effectively variational/perturbation analysis methods to study the adjacent possible around a nominal. We lack a nominal now.
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Which makes sense because variational/perturbation methods are typically used for tractability. A high-dimensional and intractable primary problem can yield a tractable low-dimensional variational problem with almost no loss if the nominal reference trajectory (scenario) is good
End of conversation
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