I think the green lumber parable illustrates why I think Taleb is my evil twin. My takeaway from it is that the actual meaning of green lumber is important and therefore the trading world is bullshit. His lesson seems to be: what lets you trade it well is what’s important.
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I kinda don’t give a shit that some boring dude lacking in the basic curiosity to learn what he was trading made a pile of money. It’s a kind of deadness.https://nassimtaleb.org/tag/green-lumber-problem/ …
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We’re all going to die eventually anyway. Life is the ultimate guaranteed 100% losing trade. Why not enrich the journey by paying attention to the universe you’re in while you’re passing through it?
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Replying to @vgr
Only works if you're right. A little knowledge is a dangerous thing since it progresses non-linearly. (Some) people get dumber with first details like what green means. Bootstrapped abstract cargo cult of existence via pompous narration more dead than mediocre/humble $$$-making.
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Replying to @mchapiro
There’s nothing to “work” here. It’s not about dumb or smart. The opposite of green lumber dude is not pompous narrative guy. It’s not a trader at all. The market is not the world.
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Replying to @vgr
Then I'm not sure what you're saying is tied to the green lumber fallacy since I read it as being tied to approaches to people that are trying to do "work". I don't see how non-market would be the opposite...
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Seems to be more a sentiment of dissapointment because it would in fact be nice if society could collaboratively support some sort of progression toward figuring out more things without people suffering such great volatility for being curious. I'd agree with that.
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You’re lost in your own world dude.
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