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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr May 2
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      I think the green lumber parable illustrates why I think Taleb is my evil twin. My takeaway from it is that the actual meaning of green lumber is important and therefore the trading world is bullshit. His lesson seems to be: what lets you trade it well is what’s important.

      5 replies 2 retweets 37 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr May 2
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      I kinda don’t give a shit that some boring dude lacking in the basic curiosity to learn what he was trading made a pile of money. It’s a kind of deadness.https://nassimtaleb.org/tag/green-lumber-problem/ …

      1 reply 1 retweet 21 likes
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    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr May 2
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      We’re all going to die eventually anyway. Life is the ultimate guaranteed 100% losing trade. Why not enrich the journey by paying attention to the universe you’re in while you’re passing through it?

      7 replies 11 retweets 66 likes
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    4. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr May 2
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      Replying to @lamardeion

      You’re giving him the speculative benefit of doubt on his ends, while discounting the real damage of his means: introducing speculative volatility into the lumber market based on fundamental ignorance about it. He broke an egg fir sure. He *may* make an omelette.

      9:37 PM - 2 May 2020
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      • Kyle Adolf Richter Brill 🐮 🎙 Piyush Maverick Tainguriya Customer Support 🎙 Prathan Fú lā jī mǐ'ěr
      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2.  ☃️A Thousand Merry F**kin Plateaus 🎄‏ @interpretantion May 3
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          Replying to @vgr @lamardeion

          Okay I'm not sure where this conclusion comes from. Arbitraging price discrepancies in some economic sector doesn't magically tarnish the purity of some economic eden in which all prices were based on "the real world".

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3.  ☃️A Thousand Merry F**kin Plateaus 🎄‏ @interpretantion May 3
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          Replying to @interpretantion @vgr @lamardeion

          Like this seems to be seeing like a state: the people who academically studied green lumber have the Correct mental model and anyone who finds an advantage in some mental model that differs from it is cheating and messing up how things are supposed to work

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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