Conversation

Good time to be a futurist. Since all old futures have been trashed there’s demand for building up a whole new set of futures. Most futurists will fail though since they were trained in adjacent possible variational futures, not blank-modes futures.
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The past is a foreign country; they do things differently there — L. P. Hartley Me: sub alien planet for foreign country
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This really is very challenging futurism problem. It’s hard to sort out the initial conditions of the future we’re in from the dead end causal lines of the extrapolated past that are inconsistent with post covid world. Cache invalidation is severe.
Replying to
Only about 10% of the present is seeds of the future. 90% is dead end stuff. Usually it’s the other way around
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Ok maybe it’s actually a terrible time to be a futurist. I think the basic toolkit may be trashed. Scenarios are a variational method for example. The only method I think is still robustly valid now is design fiction.
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It’s actually a great time to be a revisionist historian of your own life. Go back and review the logs and renarrate your life so it naturally passes through covid point and thrives beyond. “My whole life has been preparation for this moment” strategy.
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