Robotics is not labor intensive once you’ve programmed/designed them. Robots can build other robots. The smartest Chinese roboticists will be trivially easy to poach. Half of them remain after grad school in the west anyway.
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This all sounds like increasing class disparity, which is likely.
So you think that there will be a STEAMA elite that forgets about the race/genes game?
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Yes, that’s never been that important frankly. It’s just a narrative lens that trumpists around the world play up. The Chinese are no different from Americans on that I bet. Maybe a third are jingoistic racists, a third are pragmatic, a third have a liberal/cosmopolitan outlook.
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Oh for sure, racism is everywhere, although I put it at 90% of humanity hits the racist threshold.
So we have a mediocre racial mob vs. a minority creative elite that doesn't care about race. Who will win?
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Not sure why you’re so obsessed with race as a framing dimension, it doesn’t even make my top 5 in significance
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Historical initial conditions effect that’s been eroded to like 20% of its historical strength already from like 1400 AD or so which was likely the peak
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A good point, but I'd say eroded to maybe 90% of it's original.
Maybe a better question: how could we answer this? What experiment?
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Global trade, English language penetration, global food/music/movies spread, cosmopolitan cities... lots of proxy metrics, but it’s a rhetorical argument anyway. You think it is a big deal, I think it’s a minor overstated thing. We each proceed on assumptions.
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I mean go model whatever you like... there are no physics-like fundamentals here

