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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 25
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      So now that China has had a truly major failure attached to its reputation, how does that affect the future of its superpower aspirations? (I think it’s still well short of the USSR at its peak, so it’s like a superpower-lite aspirant right now)

      18 replies 5 retweets 26 likes
    2. pastablister‏ @pastablister Apr 25
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      Replying to @vgr

      China was never playing for soft power anyway?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 25
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      Replying to @pastablister

      They’re going to lose hard power from this

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. pastablister‏ @pastablister Apr 25
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      Replying to @vgr

      Frankly I'd like to think so, but how? So we move production to India, Vietnam, et al., and we pay X% more, that'll do the trick?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 25
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      Replying to @pastablister

      Robotics

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. pastablister‏ @pastablister Apr 25
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      Replying to @vgr

      Do you think that's significantly different in impact than the outsourcing elsewhere point?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. pastablister‏ @pastablister Apr 25
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      + China is top in robotics, no? What I see is: 1. Relatively high IQ, kinda innovative 2. Racially homogenous 3. Racial homogeneity as a value 4. Working well together 5. Populous as fuck Pretty hard to match, unless we mongrels pull a big kumbaya, which is what I'm hoping.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 25
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      Replying to @pastablister

      Robotics is not labor intensive once you’ve programmed/designed them. Robots can build other robots. The smartest Chinese roboticists will be trivially easy to poach. Half of them remain after grad school in the west anyway.

      12:28 PM - 25 Apr 2020
      • 6 Likes
      • choohaay KevinKrease Thomas Lisλnkie 💻🌱 Jimmy "goes brrrr" Hsu 🔥 .𝕖𝕒𝕣𝕥𝕙 🌎 pastablister
      2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 25
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          Replying to @vgr @pastablister

          I used to work in robotics. You vastly overestimate Chinese strength there. Almost all the fundamental work happened in the west and continues to. Including work by Chinese origin technologists in the west. They are learning faster now, but from a lower base, so there’s time.

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. pastablister‏ @pastablister Apr 25
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          Replying to @vgr

          Hands down, fundamental research is The West's Win, and it seems to be culturally based. Ok, so let's imagine that China won't be able to pipe in "creative" culture, culture is too hard to change. So it becomes an IP ripping game, but just need pretty good engineers to rip.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. pastablister‏ @pastablister Apr 25
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          Replying to @vgr

          This all sounds like increasing class disparity, which is likely. So you think that there will be a STEAMA elite that forgets about the race/genes game?

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 25
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          Yes, that’s never been that important frankly. It’s just a narrative lens that trumpists around the world play up. The Chinese are no different from Americans on that I bet. Maybe a third are jingoistic racists, a third are pragmatic, a third have a liberal/cosmopolitan outlook.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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