There are 4 scenarios with sufficient weight of likelihood to be worth planning for I think: 1. Hardened neoliberalism 2. Partial deglobalization 3. Permadistanced world 4. Collapse (defined as say 25-30% economic shrinkage and depopulation over the next 2 decades)
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I'm a little fuzzy on what you mean by 'hardened neoliberalism', but if pop growth and economic growth stall, we probably will see 2 and 3 happen without major collapse. Return of some essential manufacturing to US, gov't supports for essential foodstuffs...
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...middle class will be significantly poorer but remote work and plunging real estate prices will create a nation of permadistanced mini-compounds, with one or two breadwinners (white-collar remote work or blue-collar infra/essential service work) and kids, parents,
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When you say "depopulation" what level of population decline are you implying? Despite interdependencies and increasing complexity people are a lot more resilient and adaptable than generally given credit for.
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