There are 4 scenarios with sufficient weight of likelihood to be worth planning for I think: 1. Hardened neoliberalism 2. Partial deglobalization 3. Permadistanced world 4. Collapse (defined as say 25-30% economic shrinkage and depopulation over the next 2 decades)
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The 4th one people might argue... there's prima facie no reason to expect a worse outcome than Spanish Flu, but on a double take (secunda facie?), there's a risk present here that wasn't present in 1917-19: the sheer complexity of modern society
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Replying to @vgr
Here's a way to change the US's demographics: instead of making more babies, kill off the elderly!
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Replying to @WollowUr
More sick than elderly it now appears... comorbidities and obesity a bigger factor than age afaict
11:49 AM - 23 Apr 2020
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