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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 22
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      This is too hard to model out in any detail, but I suspect 1/3 - 1/2 of people going back to work/school every day with masks on would get 80% of the reboot done with barely noticeable marginal increase in healthcare burden.

      3 replies 7 retweets 70 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 22
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      It is kinda dumb that we haven’t explored low-tech smart distancing options in any detail. It’s either brute force total lockdown or geewhiz blockchain on phones crypto health surveillance stuff.

      6 replies 1 retweet 44 likes
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    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 22
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      It’s also dumb that we’re letting the most economically backward states with smallest, most primitive economies own the open-the-economy case, while the economies with the most to lose are kinda not putting enough brrrrainpower on the problem.

      5 replies 0 retweets 21 likes
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    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 22
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      I’m kinda glad Trump balked at actually backing Kemp’s play. Now it’s at least no longer a signal of Trumpism to want rapid reopening. Kemp’s particular model was dumb but there’s got to be fast reopen playbooks that can start today. This phase 1-phase 2 thing is trench warfare.

      2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
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    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 22
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      I think the reason I weight the economic problem more than most is that I suspect a recovery pathway, if this goes too deep, will be even harder to create than a vaccine. Especially in the developing world.

      2 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
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    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 22
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      Or to put it bluntly, if we wait to hit the cause-of-death indifference curve (1 covid death = 1 death by starvation = financial-distress suicide seems to be subconscious moral trolley calculus), the economy will be irrecoverable and political stability will unravel entirely.

      2 replies 4 retweets 15 likes
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    7. Drew Austin‏ @kneelingbus Apr 22
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      Replying to @vgr

      i also think the details of true economic collapse are harder to imagine and easier to dismiss for most right now - people compare to '08 which wasnt really that bad. virus outcomes are unprecedented but easier to grasp.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 22
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      Replying to @kneelingbus

      Grapes of Wrath needs a revival

      7:49 PM - 22 Apr 2020
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      • Olaf Drew Austin
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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