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3 down, 7 to go?
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I’m guessing 10 more weeks before we see the first signs of economy reboot. This is going to get really brutal. I’m not seeing any historical comparable for what we’re headed for. Not WW2, not the Great Depression, not the Spanish Flu. This is a totally sui generis cataclysm.
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I’m guessing actual reboot happens after widespread testing (incl. serology)/contact tracing is logistically ready for mass use; your original mid-June estimate still seems fair for some states.