Everything I predict happens, but unpredictably faster than I think it will, even if I take acceleration into account 😬😖
It’s like inverse of Hofstadter’s law: “It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.”
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Need a long acceleration (“long-acc”? Am I talking like a trader yet?) trading strategy with less than $2000 retail buy-in (my speculation limit right now)
Sadly most of my current predictions are zemblanitous.
GIF
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Okay I’ll try to add a few actual predictions here and see how the fare:
1. Some form of state-level service labor draft, like the WPA during Great Depression. 22% is just too high for normal spring-back mechanisms. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Works_Pro
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2. Major underground economy boom based on breaking restrictions and controls. Think blockade running economies during sieges.
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3. Wave of secondary non-Covid mortality due to mix of dangerously deferred “elective” healthcare and overwhelmed hospitals (first operationally, them financially)
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in 1 year
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The way things are going, I won’t be surprised if politics causes the disruption of supply chains dependent on China. The desire to pin blame is intense right now.

