Everything I predict happens, but unpredictably faster than I think it will, even if I take acceleration into account 
It’s like inverse of Hofstadter’s law: “It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hofstadter's_law …
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3. Wave of secondary non-Covid mortality due to mix of dangerously deferred “elective” healthcare and overwhelmed hospitals (first operationally, them financially)
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4. Longer-term supply disruptions from a different source than just inventory imbalance across business/consumer: production disruptions at source (harvests etc... think South Dakota pork factory as early example), outbreaks in distribution labor hubs (already looming)
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I’ll stop there. The rest I can’t even articulate very clearly.
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I suspect my gym is actually open (most likely for the employees and personal trainers) and I would pay them extra to join in.
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#2 is a sure thing the longer lockdowns stay in place, i've been thinking about that a lot. everything will get recreated in some underground context
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