Need a long acceleration (“long-acc”? Am I talking like a trader yet?) trading strategy with less than $2000 retail buy-in (my speculation limit right now) Sadly most of my current predictions are zemblanitous.pic.twitter.com/Z1TAUOCwvf
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Okay I’ll try to add a few actual predictions here and see how the fare: 1. Some form of state-level service labor draft, like the WPA during Great Depression. 22% is just too high for normal spring-back mechanisms. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Works_Progress_Administration …
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2. Major underground economy boom based on breaking restrictions and controls. Think blockade running economies during sieges.
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3. Wave of secondary non-Covid mortality due to mix of dangerously deferred “elective” healthcare and overwhelmed hospitals (first operationally, them financially)
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4. Longer-term supply disruptions from a different source than just inventory imbalance across business/consumer: production disruptions at source (harvests etc... think South Dakota pork factory as early example), outbreaks in distribution labor hubs (already looming)
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I’ll stop there. The rest I can’t even articulate very clearly.
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please predict a treatment breakthrough
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Interesting. Everything I predict happens, but roughly 8 years SLOWER than I think it will, even if I take that into account.
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It’s like inverse of Hofstadter’s law: “It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.”