My own information supply chain state: Reading: Books: I know what to read News/essays: 10% signal: noise Tweets: potluck/lottery Writing: Books: I know what to write Essays: No idea what to write Tweets: spray-and-pray
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That's why, even though reading/writing is my primary shtick, I'm looking for other sorts of things I could do. Though even with my next-best skills/roles I fall below median. Others are far better at anything *else* I could be doing to the point that I'm better off just idling
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Books have a certain gyroscopic quality shorter forms don't. All my books-first writing friends are not even thinking of second guessing their projects. It's obvious to all of them that their projects still make sense, and they're just powering through. Most are accelerating.
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The the undermining of the motivation of several competing demands on attention accelerates book projects at times like this. Shorter length = shorter time constant of relevance in general. I'd say the typical good essay I write has a half life of 5 years. A typical book is 10y.
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This tells me that we are collectively intuiting that anything with a horizon of <5 years is of questionable relevance now, and losing motivation to pursue it. Motivational cache invalidation. But anything where we are calibrated to a 5+ y horizon is still motivationally intact.
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