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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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    I wish a solid leader would emerge as the open-early-but-smartly case. We now have a dangerously unbalanced public conversation of a competent but weak public figure arguing for the cautious long-shutdown case (Fauci) and a powerful idiot arguing for the open early case (Trump).

    10:36 AM - 13 Apr 2020
    • 8 Retweets
    • 48 Likes
    • Ryan Murdock Gluckstadt Storage too many lizards Rishu Mohanka Armando Drake E. Sid Reddy Chris Lee Strom Clark
    6 replies 8 retweets 48 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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        If public health officials are the only smart people in the room, we're in for deep economic damage. They're bright, but they are by nature conservative in certain ways (as they should be). They are doing the right thing, advocating like lawyers for arresting the worst case

        2 replies 3 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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        But the other side needs somebody equally competent and cautious thinking imaginatively about agile opening, hammer-and-dance policies, test-and-trace surveillance possibilities etc. Try rapid open testing in pilot regions, get data quickly on how infection rate responds etc

        2 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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        Right now, we have an idiot in charge whose idea of rapid opening is to paint wistful pictures of "packed churches" and Hollywood speechifying rhetoric about "this country was built to go to work"... the kind of talk that will lead to grand gesture reopenings that blow up.

        1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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        What I'm most concerned about is that an **ill-conceived** hasty re-opening without adequate instrumentation or agility is done just in time to create a false dawn long enough to see Trump through November, and then a bigger surge and crash that takes even longer to open up from

        4 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
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      6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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        This is not going to happen in the US probably. Some other comparably liberal democratic country will show the way and offer America a face-saving way to imitate and follow, with some personal branding flourishes :(

        4 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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        Well, Gavin Newsom is *saying* the right things to be re-opening thought leader, but I have trouble trusting him. Fun family split. I like Garcetti and am suspicious of Newsom. Wife likes Newsom and is suspicious of Garcetti.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        Show this thread
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. christina dunbar hyphen hester‏ @scrivenix Apr 13
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        Replying to @vgr

        christina dunbar hyphen hester Retweeted Carl Minzner

        a missing element is quarantine for infected but not gravely ill ppl. https://twitter.com/carlminzner/status/1249610213386145792?s=21 …https://twitter.com/CarlMinzner/status/1249610213386145792 …

        christina dunbar hyphen hester added,

        Carl Minzner @CarlMinzner
        JAMA article. Social distancing/lockdowns helped *slow down* new infections in Wuhan. But it was decision to stop sending sick people home to infect families & roommates that made real difference. That was what REDUCED case numbers. h/t @SCS_Disputes https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2764658 … pic.twitter.com/6voDzyJ4Xh
        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 13
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        Replying to @scrivenix

        Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

        yeah I've been tracking that... unfortunately I think there may be ideological resistance to that from a civil liberties povhttps://twitter.com/vgr/status/1248122195416477698 …

        Venkatesh Rao added,

        Venkatesh Rao @vgr
        People like to compare China and the west in very abstract, ideological terms, but really I think it boils down to the political feasibility of a *single* tactic: group quarantine. Everything else is pretty much legitimately available within all political systems.
        Show this thread
        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. 4 more replies
      1. Roro‏ @rorotrader Apr 13
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        Replying to @vgr

        Your wish is NOT coming truepic.twitter.com/dB9JYwVgsT

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Scott Nicholson‏ @eScottNicholson Apr 13
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        Replying to @vgr

        Cuomo is, but "it's New York" so nobody pays attention.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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