> the electrical grid is seeing wild shifts in consumption patterns
...to way less usage? unless everyone is setting up bitcoin mining rigs at home i have difficulty seeing how this would be placing more stress on the system
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Yeah, the headline number for total system load might be down, but residential substations and the lines that run from them are under higher sustained strain than ever before. One downed line can cascade into a much more complex failure.
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It absolutely scares the shit out of me to see the people in charge talking about walking lockdowns out into the summer months. I fear that more than the virus at this point, given the systematic risk that’s being played with.
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Feels like few people are even equipped to have the kind of discussion about values and tradeoffs that’s required. What happens when we hit September, riots have been ongoing on and off for two months, and it’s time to finalize election protocols? Is anyone thinking about that?
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Nope, no thought being put into that at an institutional level at all. DoD people have thought about riots, but only as far as "we might need to deploy the national guard". Our little group of very online autists are ten moves ahead of policymakers and nobody is listening to us.
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That’s perhaps giving ourselves too much credit. If we can see 10 moves ahead macro but not even 1 move ahead in getting people to listen to out genius wisdom... we’re actually seeing zero moves ahead. God-mode foresight is only a meaningful power in video games.
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Concrete predictive and analytical track record of very online autists has been excellent from the get go. More plausible that we're just systematically locked out of institutions.
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The problem is you think having an excellent concrete analytical and predictive record is in fact the highest priority thing in a crisis. It isn’t.
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Short-term: Control > Prediction
Long-term: Prediction > Control
Medium-term: Ooga-booga
There’s no point making predictions about time you haven’t bought yet.
Once you’ve bought it, there’s no point having it if you can’t see past your nose.
In between it’s a shitshow.
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