1st order: healthcare surge, supply chain disruption 2nd order: economic slump, demand collapse 3rd order: large infrastructure load imbalances 4th order: large opportunistic exploits like oil war 5th order: normal accidents frequency increase 6th order: extended outage gangrene
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Replying to @vgr
What abt social unrest from 1)when govts are not able to build trust for strong measures and compliance at this time or other reasons in past? 2)migrants or other segments of population not feeling safe
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Replying to @UjjvalPamnani @vgr
Global south is likely to experience more of it and some of the govts may not act thoughtfully and carefully instead have knee jerk reactions
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Replying to @UjjvalPamnani
Yep. Collapse and war follow, like in parts of Africa partly due to AIDS.
11:21 PM - 10 Apr 2020
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