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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. mattparlmer‏ @mattparlmer Apr 10
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      Don't take the press's third hand accounts of what's going on very seriously, you're consuming formulaic crisis PR from bureaucrats. Call up the people who you went to school with and get an idea of actual ground truth. Don't let yourself be spoonfed propaganda.

      2 replies 8 retweets 70 likes
      Show this thread
    2. mattparlmer‏ @mattparlmer Apr 10
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      If you *really* don't want to get any sleep tonight, talk to engineers who work on critical infrastructure. The electrical grid is seeing wild shifts in consumption patterns. Telecom backbone services have been failing left and right. Ask them what a "correlated failure" is.

      8 replies 20 retweets 129 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Adam Strandberg‏ @The_Lagrangian Apr 10
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      Replying to @mattparlmer @vgr

      > the electrical grid is seeing wild shifts in consumption patterns ...to way less usage? unless everyone is setting up bitcoin mining rigs at home i have difficulty seeing how this would be placing more stress on the systemhttps://www.axios.com/coronavirus-declines-electrical-power-consumption-9f48cb9a-f881-4cdf-adce-4e4ab2e05100.html …

      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
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    5. mattparlmer‏ @mattparlmer Apr 10
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      Replying to @sonyasupposedly @The_Lagrangian @vgr

      Yeah, the headline number for total system load might be down, but residential substations and the lines that run from them are under higher sustained strain than ever before. One downed line can cascade into a much more complex failure.

      0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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    7. The End Times‏ @TheAgeofShoddy Apr 10
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      Replying to @sonyasupposedly @mattparlmer and

      It absolutely scares the shit out of me to see the people in charge talking about walking lockdowns out into the summer months. I fear that more than the virus at this point, given the systematic risk that’s being played with.

      1 reply 1 retweet 22 likes
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    9. The End Times‏ @TheAgeofShoddy Apr 10
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      Replying to @sonyasupposedly @mattparlmer and

      Feels like few people are even equipped to have the kind of discussion about values and tradeoffs that’s required. What happens when we hit September, riots have been ongoing on and off for two months, and it’s time to finalize election protocols? Is anyone thinking about that?

      3 replies 2 retweets 30 likes
    10. mattparlmer‏ @mattparlmer Apr 10
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      Replying to @TheAgeofShoddy @sonyasupposedly and

      Nope, no thought being put into that at an institutional level at all. DoD people have thought about riots, but only as far as "we might need to deploy the national guard". Our little group of very online autists are ten moves ahead of policymakers and nobody is listening to us.

      2 replies 0 retweets 29 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      Replying to @mattparlmer @TheAgeofShoddy and

      That’s perhaps giving ourselves too much credit. If we can see 10 moves ahead macro but not even 1 move ahead in getting people to listen to out genius wisdom... we’re actually seeing zero moves ahead. God-mode foresight is only a meaningful power in video games.

      11:14 PM - 10 Apr 2020
      • 20 Likes
      • Merry 🐜onio Adam Strandberg Michael Keenan 0.005 Seconds To Freedom dobry June "Wakalix", 💎 multi_modality conventional lizdom
      2 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
        1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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          Replying to @vgr @mattparlmer and

          Gaining control over the next move is more important than *seeing* 10 moves ahead. Seizing the initiative for 1 move and putting it to good use is how you get people to listen your 10-move game plan.

          0 replies 3 retweets 18 likes
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        2. mattparlmer‏ @mattparlmer Apr 10
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          Replying to @vgr @TheAgeofShoddy and

          Concrete predictive and analytical track record of very online autists has been excellent from the get go. More plausible that we're just systematically locked out of institutions.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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          Replying to @mattparlmer @TheAgeofShoddy and

          The problem is you think having an excellent concrete analytical and predictive record is in fact the highest priority thing in a crisis. It isn’t.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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