Conversation

1st order: healthcare surge, supply chain disruption 2nd order: economic slump, demand collapse 3rd order: large infrastructure load imbalances 4th order: large opportunistic exploits like oil war 5th order: normal accidents frequency increase 6th order: extended outage gangrene
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Trying to low-order model the system stability with a dozen or fewer moving parts. I think people smarter than me are falling into the trap of modeling things with intractably high-dimensional fidelity. It alleviates comprehension anxiety but exacerbates the control problem.
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You want global governance to focus on all the biggest system modes, while those are still controllable. Small-scale things will break all over the place as a result and people will get mad but they can adapt, sort of. But if the big modes go out of control all bets are off.
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Replying to
All bets are off regardless. And there is no global governance. We do have global companies, but their CEOs are ill equipped to run the world. The world is not run by anybody.
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