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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      1st order: healthcare surge, supply chain disruption 2nd order: economic slump, demand collapse 3rd order: large infrastructure load imbalances 4th order: large opportunistic exploits like oil war 5th order: normal accidents frequency increase 6th order: extended outage gangrene

      10 replies 19 retweets 91 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      Trying to low-order model the system stability with a dozen or fewer moving parts. I think people smarter than me are falling into the trap of modeling things with intractably high-dimensional fidelity. It alleviates comprehension anxiety but exacerbates the control problem.

      2 replies 2 retweets 20 likes
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    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      You want global governance to focus on all the biggest system modes, while those are still controllable. Small-scale things will break all over the place as a result and people will get mad but they can adapt, sort of. But if the big modes go out of control all bets are off.

      2 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
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    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      The challenge is keeping ordinary people informed and trusting enough, for long enough, for big-mode controls to take effect since they all rely on consent of the governed. If the crowd loses patience, control fails, stability unravels.

      1 reply 2 retweets 14 likes
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    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      Civilization is dynamically stabilizable, statically unstabilizable. Like a bicycle. It needs to be moving to be balanceable.

      3 replies 4 retweets 35 likes
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    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      Systems theory at civilization scale is useless shit 99% of the time, but this one of those other 1% times. And more than stock-flow diagrams you need evocative language to make it work.

      1 reply 3 retweets 14 likes
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      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 10
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      A good turn of phrase like “flatten the curve” can stretch system controllability (aka people not rioting) from weeks to months and make the difference between restored stability and a runaway unraveling.

      11:00 PM - 10 Apr 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 28 Likes
      • James Tiberius Stone ☃️A Thousand Merry F**kin Plateaus🎄 Paul McGrath 🌱 Sunil S. Rawat Guy James 🌍 Flat Arthur Rachel 'flatten the curve' Weidinger portalnyc "Fire Buddha" Rival Voices (76/284 olympic squats)
      1 reply 3 retweets 28 likes
        1. Ben Kelly‏ @kellyreid Apr 11
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          Replying to @vgr

          @EmersonSpartz like your Quaranteam meme!

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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